In an August 30th leaked White House Coronavirus Task Force report first released by WABE in Atlanta, Statesboro and Bulloch County—in addition to Candler and Evans counties—continue to be listed in the “Red Zone” for COVID positive cases
Nationwide, Georgia is in the red zone for cases, indicating more than 100 new cases per 100,000 population last week, with the 7th highest rate in the country. Georgia is in the yellow zone for test positivity, indicating a rate between 5% and 10%, with the 18th highest rate in the country.
The report says that overall, Georgia has seen a decrease in new cases statewide and stability in test positivity over the last week, demonstrating continued week-over-week progress.
It also stressed that a key to continuing the decrease includes aggressive mitigation and prevention of spread from universities to local communities.
High Spread Continues In Statesboro
Bulloch County reported 88 new COVID positive cases today which brings our 14 day average of positive cases per 100,000 to 876 and percent of positive tests to 21.4%. The New York Times has now moved Statesboro to fifth in the United States in both “Where the Outbreak Is Worst Now: The metro areas with the greatest number of new cases, relative to their population, in the last two weeks” and “Where There May Be Bad News Ahead: the metro areas where new cases are rising the fastest, on a population-adjusted basis”.
On average, each person in Bulloch County with COVID is infecting 1.49 other people. As such, the total number of current cases in Bulloch County is exploding, putting the hospital system at risk. Aggressive action is urgently needed.
49% Chance of One Positive Person in Crowd of Ten in Bulloch
If you gather in a crowd of ten in Bulloch County there is a 49% chance that one person in the group will be COVID positive. Increase the crowd size to 25 and your chances increase to 82%. A crowd of 50 increases the chances to 97%. This is calculated using the Georgia Tech COVID-19 risk assessment planning tool. This interactive tool shows the risk level of attending an event in any county in America, given the event size and location (assuming 10:1 ascertainment bias).